Petro Ivanov versus Rafael Amarillas Ortiz breakdown

Petro Ivanov is a dark horse in the super middleweight division and if he keeps progressing could be in some fringe world level fights. Ortiz is a domestic fighter in Mexico who’s had mixed results and is a fairly average fighter in my opinion.

I think Petro Ivanov will have too much power for Ortiz and will stop him within five or six rounds.

Michael Polite Coffie versus Jonathan Rice breakdown

This should be a good fight for Coffie to get rounds in but not much else. Coffie has gone from being a heavyweight no one knew to being a fringe world level contender who was supposed to take on a good name in Gerald Washington this weekend. Washington had to pull out of the fight due to something with Covid and so in stepped journeyman Jonathan Rice.

Rice is a tough fighter and is a good size for a heavyweight but has a fairly basic skill set and doesn’t seem all that bothered about if he wins or loses. Coffie has power and decent timing. He also has an underrated skill set technically.

I think Michael Polite Coffie will win this fight by decision after ten rounds due to having more notice and having more will to win than Rice.

Sandy Ryan versus Kirstie Bavington breakdown

Sandy Ryan is making her pro debut after an accomplished amateur career. Bavington is a good opponent for her debut and clearly shows they want to move her quickly towards a title shot.

Sandy Ryan is very technically good and may find her style fits the pro’s better than the amateurs. Bavington isn’t a bad fighter but simply isn’t as technically good as Ryan who benefits from her long amateur career.

I think Sandy Ryan will win a decision after either four or six rounds due to being technically superior.

Campbell Hatton versus Jakub Laskowski breakdown

This is a good learning fight for Hatton as Laskowski should attempt to fight back for at least the first couple of rounds. Laskowski has won fights before which is an improvement on Hatton’s first two opponents who had a record of 0-14 between the two of them. This is understandable due to Hatton’s limited amateur career and isn’t meant as a slight towards him.

Hatton is a come forward all action fighter that throws a lot to the body and isn’t afraid to let his hands go. I don’t think his defence is great but at this lower level that doesn’t matter as his opponents struggle to deal with his pressure due to being novices themselves. Jakub Laskowski looks awkward in the ring and doesn’t appear to have much power. His defence isn’t terrible but Hatton should be able to land on him without too many problems.

Jakub Laskowski

I expect Campbell Hatton to win a decision after four rounds due to his volume of punching. His body shots should slow Laskowski down late in the fight as well.

Avni Yildirim versus Jack Cullen breakdown

This isn’t a fight anybody could have seen coming and is probably the strangest piece of match making I’ve seen in a while. Avni Yildirim is coming off a loss to the current P4P best fighter in the world in Saul “Canelo” Alvarez, in front of a crowd of more than 15,000 people. Jack Cullen scored a good upset win over domestic prospect John Docherty but has very much remained a domestic level fighter and at last years fight camp was lucky to come away with a draw versus Zac Chelli who was 7-1 at the time. It’s crazy that Yildirim has gone from fighting in the main event of a packed out stadium versus the number one fighter in the world to fighting Jack Cullen in front of under a thousand people in Eddie Hearn’s garden. Cullen, Perhaps best known for having a north face tattoo has the opportunity of a life time to elevate himself to the world stage by beating a fellow opponent of Canelo. If he can win he should be in for a few big pay days before hes done. For Avni Yildirim this is a fairly big risk and at least to me shows hes likely lost motivation after getting his big pay day versus Canelo.

Jack Cullen

Both are normally come forward fighters with fairly average chins though Cullen has shown a lot of toughness in his fights and is willing to dig deep when needed. Skill wise I don’t see a huge difference and this should be a winnable fight for both fighters.

I think Jack Cullen will win a decision after ten rounds due to being more motivated and digging deeper in a fight that should be fought on fairly even terms for the most part. Cullen often gets dropped early so I could see that happening then him battling back versus an unmotivated and flat Yildirim.

Can Xu versus Leigh Wood breakdown

This is a decent fight due to Can Xu not having fought since 2019 and Leigh Wood having a style which could cause Xu problems. Can Xu won the WBA world (regular) title in early 2019 and made two defences in the same year. He hasn’t fought since then due to Covid and Josh Warrington losing. Leigh Wood won the British featherweight title recently in a good performance versus Reece Mould.

Can Xu doesn’t have much power but throws a huge amount of punches and overwhelms his opponents. I think his style leaves him open to power punchers with decent chins as he gives a lot of opportunities for fighters to hit him.

Leigh Wood has shown power at a domestic level and even hurt James Dickens who is now fighting for a world title. He lost that fight and was hurt badly but showed heart to stick it out and almost come out on top late. He was also hurt in the Reece Mould fight which makes me question his chin as hes been getting hurt by domestic opponents.

Leigh Wood

I think Can Xu will likely win a decision due to his volume punching or force a stoppage if he gets Wood hurt though I don’t see that happening. If Wood’s power is world class I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets an early stoppage as Can Xu hasn’t fought since 2019 and has a style open to big counters.

Tommy McCarthy versus Chris Billam-Smith breakdown

This is an excellent fight in the cruiser weight division and the winner should be close to a world title shot. Tommy McCarthy has rebounded well after a TKO loss to Richard Riakporhe in 2019 by winning the WBC International title on away soil in Italy, beating Bilal Laggoune for the European title and defending the European title versus Alexandru Jur. Chris Billam-Smith has also rebounded from a 2019 loss to Richard Riakporhe, in his case by split decision. He beat Craig Glover to win the commonwealth title, defended it versus Nathan Thorley and then beat Vasil Ducar for the WBA continental title.

Tommy McCarthy is the more pure boxer of the two and I would say is technically better. I also think hes much better defensively though doesn’t quite have the chin of Billam-Smith. McCarthy isn’t a big puncher for Cruiser weight and relies more on his boxing skills than power punching.

Chris Billam-Smith is more of a power puncher than a pure boxer in my opinion. His defence is severely lacking and if he didn’t have a good chin he’d have been knocked out in a few of his fights. He is clearly powerful and has fight changing power though will have to land on McCarthy consistently to make it have its full effect.

Chris Billam-Smith

I think this fight can go either way as both are solid pro’s and have both faults and strengths. I personally feel that McCarthy will box his way to a decision victory but will have some shaky moments in the fight when Billam-Smith lands cleanly. Billam-Smith can certainly stop McCarthy if he can set his punches up well or McCarthy gets lazy even for a moment, I just believe McCarthy will be focused as this is the biggest fight of his career and he should have learn’t from his stoppage loss to Riakporhe which has some similarities style wise with this fight in my opinion.

Conor Benn versus Adrian Granados breakdown

This is a decent fight though I think Conor Benn is catching Granados at the right time as in the last few years Granados has looked like hes on the slide. Conor Benn is 18-0 with 12 knockouts and seems to be improving fight by fight. He’s very creative and good offensively though has some defensive flaws which to his credit hes been working on. Granados comes forward and has some power but is also flawed defensively. I think hes starting to slow down a little bit and even if hes not I don’t see him as a massive threat as Benn is better offensively than him and has gotten better defensively enough to where I don’t see Granados stopping him.

Adrian Granados

I think Conor Benn will take Granados apart in four or five rounds due to his combination punching and aggression. Granados will try and throw back but will get caught when throwing and stopped while hes hurt.

Anthony Fowler versus Rico Mueller breakdown

Anthony Fowler will take on late replacement Rico Mueller after the veteran Roberto Garcia pulled out of the fight for currently undisclosed reasons. Anthony Fowler has been steadily rebuilding himself after taking his first loss to Scott Fitzgerald with his most notable win being over Jorge Fortea who once took part in a final eliminator for the IBF Super welterweight world title. Rico Mueller is just below European level at Super Lightweight and Welterweight, however he is moving up to super welterweight for this fight. He’s lost his most significant fights and recently lost a fight to journeyman Rafal Jackiewicz, soon after his loss was overturned as five new judges re-scored it afterwords with all five turning in scores in favour of Mueller.

Rico Mueller

Anthony Fowler has a serviceable jab and is a power puncher with decent timing. I don’t think the undersized Rico Mueller will be able to keep Fowler off him for very long which will result in Fowler winning by knockout within three or four rounds. Mueller taking this fight on short notice also isn’t a good sign for his chances in this fight.

Mirko Natalizi versus Dmytro Shcherbyna breakdown

This is a decent step up for Natalizi who is a talented fighter with a good amateur background. He’s a good size for the weight and possesses one punch power. In his more recent fights he’s started to adjust to being a professional fighter and seems much more comfortable in the ring. Shcherbyna is also fairly big for the weight class but doesn’t have the power of Natalizi or the skill set.

I expect Mirko Natalizi to win by knockout in the seventh round of their eight round bout due to his power and technical ability.