What to expect from Felix Caraballo, Shakur Stevenson’s next opponent.

Felix Caraballo is a Puerto Rican fighter who is currently 13-1-2 with 9 knockouts. He competes at featherweight normally but will be moving up to Super Featherweight for this bout with Shakur Stevenson who will also be moving up from featherweight. Hes going to go in as a massive underdog and deservedly so as Stevenson is one of the best up and coming fighters in the sport.

Caraballo doesn’t have much footage online but from the videos I have been able to find he does appear to carry some power which matches up with what his record shows. From the footage I’ve watched he stays in a high guard and presses forward never letting his opponents get a moments rest. When he gets into range he’ll throw a variety of hooks to the body and head and will sometimes open up with a three or four punch combination. Most of the time he’ll just walk into range taking shots on the gloves rather than jabbing his way in which may get him into trouble versus Stevenson who will try to pick him off as he moves in. He does occasionally use a jab though it doesn’t have much snap to it and is mostly used to find his range or get on the inside where he can unleash hooks. When he wants to he can use the jab effectively but he doesn’t use it consistently so a lot of the good work he does off the jab is nullified by attempting to get on the inside by simply walking forward. He also seems to have a fondness for uppercuts which he used very effectively in the small amount of footage i was able to watch.

Caraballo has a punchers chance if he can catch Stevenson but I think its highly unlikely. He will of course be very motivated for this fight and i’ll always support the underdog so I do hope he pulls it off or at least puts in a good performance that gets him more big fights. I think he likely loses a points decision after being out-maneuvered by Stevenson’s foot work though I think he’ll be the aggressor for most of the fight and will likely be the one pressing the action.

Short fight Analysis : Hemi Ahio versus Ali Kiydin

This was a fight fought over 4 rounds between two unbeaten fighters in Kiydin and Ahio. The fight didn’t last past two minutes but I thought it was an interesting one as what looks like a slug fest actually involved two different game plans with both of them having success in such a short amount of time.

Ahio comes out fast and throws a jab to the body and then to the head but Kiydin predicts the second jab and slips to the left while throwing out his own jab which is used to get out of range and reset. As Ahio comes forward again Kiydin recognizes that Ahio is going to throw another jab due to him putting his weight on his front foot. Timing it perfectly he throws a 1-2 that nails Ahio as he starts throwing his jab. Kiydin then uses the position of his back foot to evade Ahio’s counter.

Both exchange hooks as Ahio looks to get on the inside which he successfully manages to do. He throws a short left hook with no power on it (this will be important later) before going back into a high guard right in front of Kiydin who throws an uppercut and a right hook before attempting to swing out of range like he did in the first clip. Ahio predicts that Kiydin is going to circle out and throws a short hook that catches him flush as he attempts to move out of range with his hands down.

I think Ahio’s plan of swarming Kiydin and giving him less time to think was a good adjustment after getting hit by the 1-2 earlier in the round. This gives Ahio all the advantages as his high guard blocks Kiydin’s shots which he can’t get proper torque on anyway and also enables him to throw short hooks both while Kiydin is in front of him and while hes attempting to circle out of range.

Kiydin begins by boxing in a tight circle and using his jab to find his range before unleashing a lead uppercut which Ahio is vulnerable to due to his high guard. He throws an overhand right after it which Ahio doesn’t see but is blocked by his high guard unlike the uppercut which connected cleanly. Ahio goes to throw one of his short hooks as Kiydin moves out of range but learning from earlier Kiydin pushes Ahio away making him fall short.

In the next sequence both fighters throw but Kiydin comes out on top for two reasons. He throws his punch straight while Ahio throws a hook and so Kiydin’s punch lands first. The second reason is that he throws last and lands a nice left hook before stepping out of range with his hands up instead of down like before. Kiydin’s straight punch also disguises the hook he throws afterwards as his fist is in Ahio’s face obscuring his view of the punch that follows which catches him unaware with his high guard down

Kiydin starts off well with a good left to the body but then throws a singular jab and backs himself into a corner instead of throwing multiple jabs as he circles away which would have kept Ahio at bay. Ahio himself does a good job of pressuring Kiydin towards the corner by threatening to throw a jab and positioning himself so that if Kiydin tries to circle out he can catch him with a hook. Ahio then throws a jab forcing Kiydin further back before throwing a short left hook with no real power on it. He then throws a right hook with much more force on it as Kiydin reacts to the left hook. As he throws Kiydin attempts an uppercut but can’t get any real power on it because of Ahio crowding him. He gets caught flush with the right hook before attempting to get himself some space by pushing Ahio back.

He succeeds to an extent and throws a good body shot as they get a small amount of distance. As they begin to separate Ahio throws the short left hook again and then the right hook with much more force again afterwards. Kiydin learning from before leans back into the ropes and avoids the right hook this time. Unfortunately he makes the mistake of keeping his hands to low and Ahio catches him with a straight left hand as he comes back into range. This clearly stuns Kiydin and Ahio quickly takes advantage with one of his signature short right hooks. At this point the fight is over as Ahio measures him with his left hand before throwing another right hook which along with a short left hook after finishes the deal.

Whats interesting about this exchange and earlier ones is that Kiydin recognizes that after Ahio throws a left hook with not much on it he’ll throw a right hook with much more force. Ahio also did this earlier in the fight when he first crowded Kiydin though in that instance the right hook caught Kiydin as he was circling out instead of being stood in front of Ahio. What Kiydin wasn’t expecting was for Ahio to crowd him immediately as earlier in the fight he had stepped back before getting on the inside again. This gave Ahio an opening as Kiydin thought he was safe and had his hands down attempting to throw an uppercut from his hip. Ahio is able to take advantage of Kiydin being momentarily stunned because of his tactics of crowding Kiydin behind a high guard where he could throw short hooks without the fear of being countered by Kiydin who preferred having distance to set up his shots.

Ahio’s game plan was to get on the inside where he could use his short hooks effectively while Kiydin struggled to get any sort of power or torque on his shots. Kiydin’s plan meanwhile was to use uppercuts to get through Ahio’s high guard and circle away using a throwaway jab thus meaning Ahio couldn’t catch him with his short hooks. In the end the fight came down to Ahio implementing his game plan better and also making a slight adjustment on the last exchange which took Kiydin by surprise and secured Ahio the win.

Mauricio Sulaiman victim of clickbait

The head of the WBC Mauricio Sulaiman recently stated that he would rank Tyson if he came back and boxed professionally which isn’t a good look for him and the WBC. However when you look into what he actually said it turns out hes under the impression that Tyson is coming back in an exhibition (which he is) but that if Tyson did want to box professionally again Sulaiman would give him a ranking if he asked because he has so much respect for Tyson and wants to help him.

I personally don’t have any problem with this as there is a very low possibility of Tyson taking to the paid ranks again and its almost a throwaway comment from Sulaiman that has been taken out of context and put as the headline of multiple articles. I feel he is taking undue criticism here and it takes a lot for me to say that as i’m not a fan of any of the sanctioning bodies. I understand that giving Tyson a ranking encourages him when really people should be telling him that boxing professionally is a bad idea but I don’t think Sulaiman actually thinks that Tyson will get back into the ring outside of an exhibition.

If you want to criticize Sulaiman then do it because of the Franchise title situation or any of the dozen others things that are wrong with the WBC, not because he said he would support Mike Tyson.

You can’t compare old time heavyweights with today’s Giant’s.

One of the topics in boxing which is brought up again and again is whether today’s heavyweights could beat the past greats such as Joe Louis and Rocky Marciano. The simple answer is they likely could because of how much bigger heavyweights are now. Marciano weighed in at 185 pounds for most of his career which wouldn’t make him a heavyweight in today’s era so to try and compare him to giants like Tyson Fury who weighed in at 270 pounds for his last contest is ludicrous. Joe Louis weighed in around 200 pounds for most of his career and if he fought today would be a Cruiserweight so to try and make comparisons to today’s fighters is almost impossible.

Marciano and Louis were the best of their era’s and are among the best heavyweights to ever live but as time has gone on the heavyweight division has got heavier and thus you can’t compare whether Marciano or Deontay Wilder would have won as they aren’t really in the same weight class. You can compare them in terms of achievements and how great they were but to try and compare them in head to head match ups ignores how much the heavyweight division has changed over time.

Top 5 Heavyweight prospects (May, 2020)

Heavyweight is one of the most popular divisions in boxing though I personally prefer other divisions where the fighters are normally faster and more skilled. The heavyweight division is notorious for having 15-20 good fighters with the rest being overweight cruiserweights or flat-footed giants. It does however have a decent crop of prospects coming through right now who will help carry the division forward when the current guys move on.

5. Filip Hrgovic is a 10-0 Croatian who has a very deep amateur background including competing in the 2016 Olympics. Hes faced some good competition for only being 10 fights in and is clearly looking to move to the top quickly after facing names like Eric Molina, Kevin Johnson and Amir Mansour. He has good power with solid fundamentals and is always looking to stop his opponents. I do think hes a little slow and throws the same punches even when hes not having success with them. I liked how he went to the body in the Eric Molina fight but his shots upstairs were largely being avoided by a fighter that clearly didn’t want to be there. Hes not that hard to hit but has a good chin so if people want to trade with him it will likely benefit him as long as the hand speed difference isn’t too much.

Filip Hrgovic

4. Bakhodir Jalolov is a 6-0 prospect from Uzbekistan who is also a very accomplished amateur. He recently won the world championships in Russia and has qualified for the Olympics next year. He does however have six pro fights which is why I’ve included him as a prospect. He has very good movement combined with fast hands which is a rarity in the heavyweight division. I especially like his one-two which he throws often and with intent. He sometimes goes back in straight lines but apart from that he has no glaring faults. Hes still early on in his career at only 25 years old but things are looking good so far for the 6 foot 7 heavyweight from Uzbekistan.

Bakhodir Jalolov

3. Efe Ajagba is a 13-0 prospect originally from Nigeria who now resides in the USA. He competed in the 2016 Olympics and has an insane reach of 85 inches. Hes a big puncher who like most punchers is very confident in the ring. Hes not particularly fast and can be a bit upright which led to him being dropped in his fight versus Iago Kiladze. He showed hes got heart in that fight as he got up and then stopped Kiladze two rounds later. Considering hes only 26 he has time to work on things which I noticed in his last fight as he seemed a little less stiff than he has in the past.

Efe Ajagba

2. Arslanbek Makhmudov is currently 10-0 with 10 knockouts and carries real power. He has a decent amateur background but isn’t an Olympian. Hes not afraid to let his hands go and often throws combinations especially when he has his opponent hurt. Hes very aggressive so he could potentially get caught as he throws but i’m very high on him as a prospect.

Arslanbek Makhmudov

1. Daniel Dubois is currently 14-0 with 13 knockouts and is currently one of the hottest prospects in boxing. Hes got good power with an excellent jab which is why I have him top of the list. Hes calm in the ring as he takes his opponents apart with a solid jab and good timing. He has been known to sometimes start trading when he doesn’t need to but its not something he consistently does. My biggest worry with him as a fighter is his lack of head movement which is something he can work on as well as fighting off the back foot as I have a feeling that when someone forces him back he won’t be nearly as effective.

Daniel Dubois

Who is most deserving of a title shot at Super Bantamweight?

Super Bantamweight is currently a stacked division with a lot of talent throughout its ranks. Picking the true number one contender in the division is hard and theres arguments for quite a few fighters.

While a few fighters can be considered for me the number one contender in the division is Stephen Fulton who is on an absolute roll right now. He’s 18-0 and has faced good competition throughout his career. Hes fought 7 undefeated fighters or 8 if you count the guy making his debut which is very impressive considering hes only had 18 fights. His last fight with Arnold Khegai has put him into a mandatory position with the WBO so he should be getting a title shot in the future. I think because hes fought some decent fighters and is on an 18 fight win streak right now that hes the true number one contender in the division.

A few others like Ryosuke Iwasa are close but I just don’t think they’ve strung enough victories in a row together to be the number one contender. Iwasa last two wins were versus good opponents and he is mandatory to the IBF title so he’ll get a title shot as well.

Joseph Parker versus Lucas Browne rumored

Joseph Parker’s team has said that they have been having talks to fight Lucas Browne sometime this year. Due to the Corona Virus Parker won’t be able to travel to the USA to get a bigger fight so they are looking at more local fights for him.

I actually think this is a decent fight considering the pandemic. It’ll be a big fight in Australia and New Zealand and one that should have happened before. I think Parker KO’s Browne but the fight should be entertaining for as long as it lasts. Hopefully after this fight Parker can finally get another big fight as he hasn’t done a huge amount since he lost to Dillian Whyte almost two years ago.

I think Lucas Browne can get some fights as a gatekeeper though if he does get the Parker fight this will be the last big fight hes involved in.

3 fight plan : Josh Warrington

Josh Warrington is one of the best fighters in the UK right now and has had a great run of fights as world champion. If he wins the three fights that I suggest in a row then I think he has to be regarded as a P4P fighter.

The first of the three fights he should have is versus Can Xu. He is currently the WBA champion and has a solid resume. He throws massive amounts of punches and a fight between him and Warrington would be incredible as both never stop punching. This fight is supposed to happen next and its one of the fights i’m most looking forward to once this lockdown ends.

The second of the three fights should be versus Kid Galahad who is his IBF mandatory right now. Their first fight wasn’t a great watch but it was competitive and they’ll have to fight again now that Galahad is back in the number one spot. Hopefully Warrington can win the fight in a more dominant fashion as I really don’t want to see a trilogy between them.

The third fight out of three is versus Gary Russel Jr. Russel who has been a champion since 2015 though he has been very inactive. I think this is a fight between the number one and two in the division which would make it a great fight. Russel has talked about moving up but i’m not sure I see him doing that as no big names are calling to fight him right now. Hes a very good fighter who unfortunately will never achieve what he could have because he refuses to fight more than once a year.

If Warrington can win all three of those fights then he will have an incredible resume at featherweight and will start to break into the top 10 P4P in my opinion.

Jamel Herring versus Jonathan Oquendo rumored.

Jamel Herring will be fighting soon but his opponent hasn’t been officially announced yet. Rumors today are that he’ll be facing Jonathan Oquendo in a defence of his WBO 130 pound title. Oquendo is a solid fighter who currently holds a record of 31-6 though some of his losses were in very close fights.

He was perceived to be unlucky to not get the decision versus Lamont Roach Jr by many people though the fight was close. Roach went on to fight Jamel Herring where he lost a 12 round decision however had his moments especially in the 11th round. Oquendo deserves some sort of big fight after the questionable loss to Roach and Herring should be praised for giving him that opportunity if the fight is announced.

Considering the current circumstances I think Oquendo is a very good opponent for Jamel Herring and if he wins will prepare him well for big fights versus the likes of Carl Frampton, Joseph Diaz and Miguel Berchelt.

Kevin Lerena to fight Kai Robin Havnaa next

Kevin Lerena the current IBO Cruiserweight champion is set to face Kai Robin Havnaa in his next defence of his title. He would be defending on away soil for the second time in a row which is an admirable trait in a boxer. I would personally like to see him fight for one of the actual belts at cruiserweight but as long as hes active I don’t mind him clearing the division out.

Havnaa shouldn’t be a hard fight for Lerena in my opinion and hes not someone that people were talking about before this fight was announced. He is undefeated which will make it look nice on Lerena’s record but apart from that its just a good fight for him to sharpen his skills and get a pay day for defending his title on the road.