This is a comeback opponent for Payano against a name a lot of top fighters have fought. Tabugon is a notable journeyman who’s tough but also doesn’t have much chance of upsetting the fighters he faces. His last upset win was in 2014 to put this fight into context. Payano might not be elite at super bantamweight or bantamweight but hes more than good enough to beat fighters like Tabugon.
I think Juan Carlos Payano will win this fight by decision after eight rounds due to out-boxing Tabugon, who will try but simply doesn’t have the skill set to win.