This should be a bit of a tune up fight for Shawn Porter compared to how hard his recent run of fights has been. Porter is coming off a close loss to Errol Spence Jr who most people feel is the number one guy in the division. Formella is coming off a defence of his IBO world title which he originally got from beating Thulani Mbenge which is his best win to date in his career.
Shawn Porter is a rough fighter who normally likes to come forward and make things uncomfortable for his opponents. He does have good technical skills however and I think his boxing abilities are underrated. He has a very good chin and also an amazing gas tank. He’s mixed it with the best of the welterweight division for years now and always gives a good account of himself even if he loses.
Sebastian Formella is 22-0 but hasn’t faced the level of competition that Shawn Porter has. His biggest win is arguably a fight he should have lost and he hasn’t looked great in his recent fights. He mostly boxes on the back foot and moves around a lot. He may be one of the few boxers to attempt a marathon while fighting in the ring. His jab isn’t anything special but it is decent and he will use it sometimes before he raids in with a few punches before going back to circling around the ring. His defence isn’t world class in my opinion and I don’t think his stamina will hold out over 12 rounds versus Porter.
I think Shawn Porter will win by stoppage because of his experience and that I don’t think Formella will be able to keep Shawn Porter at range meaning Porter can implement his game plan and win. Formella isn’t a bad fighter he’s just facing a top 6 Welterweight when he’s more of a top 25 guy himself who doesn’t have the experience of competing against top 10 guys in the division.